Manhattan, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

072
FXUS63 KTOP 222255
AFDTOP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
455 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Chilly through Monday with highs in the 30s and 40s and lows in
the single digits to low teens.

- Warmth returns Tuesday through the end of the week with highs in
the 60s.

- Rain chances return Wednesday evening into Thursday (30-60%).

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1227 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

Cold air and high pressure will remain through Monday morning.


Southerly return flow develops Monday evening. Monday will be
very dry, with relative humidity in the upper teens to low 20s,
but wind speeds will be low enough that critical fire conditions
aren`t anticipated. By Tuesday, strong warm air advection takes
hold and temperatures rapidly rise into the 60s. A fast-moving
clipper system moves through the Plains Wednesday into Thursday,
bringing a strong cold front through the area. Some light rain
is possible, but with limited moisture available and the fast-
moving nature of the system, only minor amounts appear possible
at this time (30%-60% of a few hundredths of rain). Mild
temperatures and dry conditions are favored through the rest of
the week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 450 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Winds gradually back
to the SSE by late morning into midday and generally remain
around or under 10kts.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Jones
AVIATION...Drake